Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.242607 1.521460 1.883939 2.406656 3.172991 4.315003 6.285081
2025-12-07 0.887644 1.189016 1.642589 2.433519 3.938682 7.182322 17.357817
2025-12-14 0.696204 0.980740 1.447326 2.366485 4.482570 10.812441 54.477375
2025-12-21 0.584632 0.853425 1.322591 2.338494 5.091615 16.645523 384.708731
2025-12-28 0.534101 0.809404 1.323416 2.563585 6.697248 36.765066 NaN
2026-01-04 0.485356 0.755830 1.286798 2.681773 8.258149 88.343212 NaN
2026-01-11 0.437752 0.694337 1.215694 2.671589 9.383710 224.339077 NaN
2026-01-18 0.394266 0.633117 1.129927 2.577768 10.006912 633.345045 NaN
2026-01-25 0.366789 0.598459 1.095309 2.628902 11.818425 87595.745521 NaN
2026-02-01 0.347290 0.576462 1.084659 2.758627 14.930581 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.323941 0.543332 1.039909 2.744187 16.914623 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.300276 0.506748 0.979822 2.644412 17.736294 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.287730 0.492608 0.975728 2.781134 23.344663 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.272098 0.470112 0.945729 2.795040 27.711866 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.255154 0.443012 0.898766 2.710110 29.681285 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.241538 0.421930 0.865049 2.675530 33.515328 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.237469 0.421572 0.889126 2.950881 57.092934 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.230114 0.412930 0.887766 3.096453 87.700704 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.219959 0.396849 0.861559 3.083880 110.312359 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.208630 0.377131 0.821592 2.968301 116.317912 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.201693 0.367166 0.810213 3.031242 174.795557 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.196912 0.361865 0.812533 3.191470 372.518519 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.189497 0.349637 0.790952 3.173597 557.019731 NaN NaN